Pre-Market Scan · 2026-10-02

Coverage gap. 1 price pulls failed and were NOT checked: MSFT.

Take

Tape's calm on the surface: SPY +0.18% to 763.99 (6.1% above the 200dma), QQQ +0.31% to 742.03 (11% above), VIX down to 16.04, but Fear & Greed dropped to 27.2 "fear" from 36.9 a week ago and 46.1 a month ago, sentiment's rolling over under a price melt-up.
September NFP prints at 8:30 ET today, whole book catalyst, and ADP already showed private payrolls down 32K for the month against a Street consensus of +84K for the real number, that gap raises the odds of a soft surprise.
NFLX hit a fresh 10-day low at 67.85 (-2.49%), engagement reset colliding with a same-week Deutsche Bank upgrade to Buy, no action called for, basis still green at 63.44, earnings not till 10/20.
IREN sits 1.6% off the $40 round number at 40.65, already round-tripped past its 61.8 fib retrace and down 21.6% unrealized, decide now if you're defending that level or letting it go.
Thesis contradiction: market-thesis.md has the regime defined by the 30Y blowing through 5.33% to 5.64% and the hike tail as the new base case, but a 16-VIX and both indices near highs say equities aren't pricing that bond story at all.

S&P 5007,666+0.19%

NASDAQ26,872+0.04%

Dow Jones50,927+0.04%

Bitcoin86,392+1.81%

Ethereum2,746+1.49%

Fear & Greed

27.2

fear

-0.9 vs prior close

Price strength0
Breadth1
Put / call36
VIX50

Earningsheld first, then watched, then size

Your bookpositions, basis and the tape

SPY

763.99

+6.1% vs 200 DMA 720.03

QQQ

742.03

+11.1% vs 200 DMA 667.91

VIX

16.04

calm under 20

Gate

OPEN

both above the 200, VIX under 20

Ticker	Sh	Price	Day	Basis	P&L
ACHR	1	5.03	+1.21%	5.57	-1 -9.7%
AMZN	2	248.23	-0.37%	8.96 *	479 +21.1%
CCJ	5	85.69	-1.13%	97.51	-59 -12.1%
IREN	10	40.65	-0.56%	51.86	-112 -21.6%
META	3.00	725.93	+0.10%	637.60	265 +13.7%
NFLX	6	67.85	-2.49%	63.44	26 -4.3%
SOFI	1	15.84	+0.76%	16.27	-0 -2.6%
SYM	100	43.17	+2.61%	42.64	53 -8.1%
TTWO	4	203.62	-1.87%	237.37	-135 -14.2%
V	2.99	359.85	+0.14%	344.38	46 +4.2%
VST	10	139.75	+1.01%	153.06	-133 -3.7%

* Option credits exceed half the cost of that position, so true basis is real but its percentage return is not. P&L is every dollar including options and dividends; the small figure under it is the share move against broker basis.

Cash 1,804.74 as recorded. Confirm before sizing.

Your names on the fib band

ACHR$5.03past 61.8
61.8 · $5
50
38.2 · $6
7.5% below the 61.8% fib at $5.44
AMZN$248.2338.2 to 50 zone · 0.7% from $250
61.8 · $236
50
38.2 · $256
0.9% above the 50% fib at $246.05
CCJ$85.69past 61.8
61.8 · $102
50
38.2 · $113
15.6% below the 61.8% fib at $101.51
IREN$40.65past 61.8 · 1.6% from $40
61.8 · $45
50
38.2 · $55
9.4% below the 61.8% fib at $44.89
META$725.93above the band
61.8 · $622
50
38.2 · $682
6.4% above the 38.2% fib at $682.28
NFLX$67.85past 61.8
61.8 · $82
50
38.2 · $92
17.1% below the 61.8% fib at $81.84
SOFI$15.84past 61.8
61.8 · $17
50
38.2 · $18
6.2% below the 61.8% fib at $16.89
SYM$43.17past 61.8
61.8 · $49
50
38.2 · $56
11.7% below the 61.8% fib at $48.91
TTWO$203.62past 61.8 · 1.8% from $200
61.8 · $221
50
38.2 · $238
8.0% below the 61.8% fib at $221.35
V$359.85above the band
61.8 · $330
50
38.2 · $351
2.4% above the 38.2% fib at $351.30
VST$139.75past 61.8
61.8 · $147
50
38.2 · $157
5.2% below the 61.8% fib at $147.44

Armed levelsradar-rules.md

Round number magnets

TSLA$350 magnet$354.11+1.2%
SPY$750 magnet$763.99+1.9%
QQQ$750 magnet$742.03-1.1%
PAYX$100 magnet$100.84+0.8%
KMI$30 magnet$30.53+1.8%

Dip radar, AI infrastructure

AVGO1.8% from $350$343.64-2.1%
FCX2.1% from the 50% fib (67.86); 1.0% from $70$69.28-1.0%
IREN1.6% from $40$40.65-0.6%
ASML0.5% from $1800$1,808.49-0.2%
EQIX1.2% from $1000$1,012.33+0.1%
ALAB1.8% from $350$356.42+0.1%
DELL1.5% from $550$541.74+0.7%
ARM0.9% from the 50% fib (295.14)$292.34+0.9%
TT0.2% from the 50% fib (459.92); 2.0% from $450$458.94+1.5%
CRWV1.6% from $90$88.57+1.7%
FIX2.1% from the 50% fib (1720.99); 0.9% from $1700$1,685.29+1.9%
VRT1.6% from $250$246.12+2.0%

24 names flagged, showing the 12 weakest. The rest are round-number proximity only.

TARGETS on the fib ladder

Left is the deepest discount off the 52-week high. The dot is where the tape sits.

Hidden: BRK.B, GE, GS, MMM are above the band, so not buyable here. TTWO, VST already held, shown on the book rail.

NEENextEra Energy$76.35past 61.8
61.8 · $79
50
38.2 · $87
3.7% below the 61.8% fib at $79.25
COSTCostco$914.94past 61.8
61.8 · $940
50
38.2 · $1,000
2.7% below the 61.8% fib at $940.49
ULTAUlta Beauty$537.73past 61.8
61.8 · $552
50
38.2 · $615
2.7% below the 61.8% fib at $552.45
LMTLockheed Martin$505.50past 61.8
61.8 · $518
50
38.2 · $584
2.4% below the 61.8% fib at $517.79
WFCWells Fargo$80.25past 61.8
61.8 · $82
50
38.2 · $88
1.9% below the 61.8% fib at $81.80
QCOMQualcomm$182.0950 to 61.8 zone
61.8 · $175
50
38.2 · $207
4.2% above the 61.8% fib at $174.68
MAMastercard$550.0038.2 to 50 zone
61.8 · $527
50
38.2 · $555
1.0% below the 38.2% fib at $555.45
CINFCincinnati Financial$162.1538.2 to 50 zone
61.8 · $155
50
38.2 · $162
0.2% below the 38.2% fib at $162.47
AVGOBroadcom$343.6450 to 61.8 zone
61.8 · $321
50
38.2 · $371
0.8% below the 50% fib at $346.27 · crossed the 50% down since the last scan

Abnormal movers504 names scanned

CTVACortevaAgriculture · 4.6x normal$12.57-83.8%Mechanical, not a crash: Corteva completed the Vylor spinoff, the -83.8% is the post-split price reset, not a sell-off.
ACNAccentureServices · 3.6x normal$212.30+15.8%Beat EPS 3.29 vs 3.19 est (+3.1% surprise), stock up 15.8%, multiple firms raising targets same day.
SNPSSynopsysSoftware · 3.4x normal$490.54+12.8%No news catalyst, but three firms (Wells Fargo, Keybanc, Rosenblatt) raised price targets 10/1, likely the fuel behind the +12.8%.
MKCMcCormick & CompanyFood · 3.1x normal$44.14-4.9%Stifel cut its target to 48 from 55 today despite a decent Q3 call three days ago, stock tagged a fresh 52-week low.
LVSLas Vegas SandsTravel · 3.0x normal$36.69-3.0%
PSKYParamount SkydanceMedia · 2.9x normal$9.34-9.6%
DOCHealthpeak PropertiesREIT · 2.7x normal$19.44-2.6%
MPCMarathon PetroleumEnergy · 2.7x normal$420.15+6.2%
DHRDanaher CorporationMachinery · 2.5x normal$211.76-4.4%
JNJJohnson & JohnsonPharma · 2.5x normal$258.66-2.3%
TRGPTarga ResourcesEnergy · 2.5x normal$279.31+3.3%
VRTXVertex PharmaceuticalsPharma · 2.5x normal$506.74-3.1%
CDNSCadence Design SystemsSoftware · 2.4x normal$350.73+6.2%
DISThe Walt Disney CompanyConsumer · 2.4x normal$101.33-3.4%
CHRWC.H. RobinsonIndustrials · 2.3x normal$153.14+3.5%
KMBKimberly-ClarkPackaging · 2.3x normal$94.34-3.2%
VLOValero EnergyEnergy · 2.3x normal$408.46+5.4%
ROPRoper TechnologiesMachinery · 2.3x normal$362.59+3.8%
KVUEKenvueConsumer · 2.2x normal$17.22-2.5%
GWWW. W. GraingerIndustrials · 2.2x normal$1,281.68+2.9%
JJacobs SolutionsDefense · 2.1x normal$139.79+3.3%
SJMThe J.M. Smucker CompanyFood · 2.1x normal$115.95-2.5%
TMOThermo Fisher ScientificMachinery · 2.1x normal$652.51-3.3%
HASHasbroConsumer · 2.1x normal$89.98+2.6%

At / near a 52-week lowwithin 3%

CSRACSRA · 0.0% above the low$24.39-0.1%low $24.39
PEPPepsiCoBeverages · 0.1% above the low$125.60-0.9%low $125.53
MAAMid-America Apartment CommunitiesREIT · 0.2% above the low$116.38-1.2%low $116.17
NKENike, Inc.Apparel · 0.4% above the low$35.15-0.7%low $35.02
TMUST-Mobile USTelecom · 0.4% above the low$161.73-0.8%low $161.14
ORealty IncomeREIT · 0.4% above the low$53.53-1.4%low $53.33
SBACSBA CommunicationsREIT · 0.4% above the low$158.02-1.3%low $157.35
MKCMcCormick & CompanyFood · 0.5% above the low$44.14-4.9%low $43.94
LULULululemonApparel · 0.5% above the low$95.86-0.3%low $95.35
LVSLas Vegas SandsTravel · 0.6% above the low$36.69-3.0%low $36.48
AMTAmerican TowerREIT · 0.6% above the low$161.06-1.6%low $160.06
NOCNorthrop GrummanMachinery · 0.6% above the low$482.00-0.3%low $479.02

Market newssince the 06:00 report

ADP: private payrolls fell 32,000 in September, casts doubt on today's NFP Whole book. Consensus for the 8:30 print is +84K with unemployment holding at 4.1%; a -32K ADP read is a big divergence and raises the odds of a soft surprise. CBS News
Netflix lost 14% in September as growth slows, Deutsche Bank upgrades to Buy into the Oct 20 print Held 6 sh, true basis 63.44. Fresh 10-day low at 67.85 today, the upgrade and the price action are fighting each other heading into earnings. Invezz

Congressequities only, bonds dropped

No committee-correlated equity trade in the window.

What's comingfrom economic-calendar.md

September jobs report / nonfarm payrolls date estimated Whole book. August printed +162K, unemployment 4.1%	Fri Oct 2 8:30am ET today
NFLX Q3 earnings Held 6 sh. Wells Fargo Underweight $57 (9/18) and HSBC Hold $76 (9/22) both cite engagement, so engagement is the number	Tue Oct 20 AMC in 18 days
October FOMC decision, no SEP Whole book	Tue Oct 27 to 10-28 (Tue-Wed) 2pm ET in 25 days
US midterm elections Whole book. VIX Nov-18 future already prices this at 20.03 vs 14.89 spot	Tue Nov 3 in 32 days
TTWO fiscal Q2 earnings Held 4 sh, GTA VI event hold. Last scheduled shot at a pre-order number before the 11/19 launch	Mon Nov 9 in 38 days