Pre-Market Scan · 2026-10-05

Take

SPY and QQQ are both miles above their 200-days and the regime gate is wide open, but VIX popped 5.75% to 16.19 riding shotgun with the rally and fear-greed is still parked in fear at 38.3, up from 31 but not sold yet. That's a tape buying stocks it doesn't fully trust.
WDC and STX both got cut roughly 10% apiece on a Toshiba HDD-capacity-doubling headline, that's a real oversupply scare hitting the whole disk complex, not noise.
Market-thesis has the hike tail as the base case with the 30-year blown through its 5.33% failure line to 5.64%, but today's tape is acting like none of that landed, new highs on sub-17 vol. Somebody's wrong and it's probably not the bond market.

S&P 5007,723+0.73%

NASDAQ27,191+1.19%

Dow Jones51,177+0.49%

Bitcoin86,168-0.36%

Ethereum2,717-0.36%

Fear & Greed

38.3

fear

+7.1 vs prior close

Price strength1
Breadth1
Put / call33
VIX50

Earningsheld first, then watched, then size

Nobody in your universe or the bellwether list reports today.

Your bookpositions, basis and the tape

SPY

769.64

+6.8% vs 200 DMA 720.47

QQQ

749.58

+12.1% vs 200 DMA 668.60

VIX

16.19

calm under 20

Gate

OPEN

both above the 200, VIX under 20

Ticker	Sh	Price	Day	Basis	P&L
ACHR	1	4.89	-2.78%	5.57	-1 -12.2%
AMZN	2	251.52	+1.33%	8.96 *	485 +22.7%
BA	1	193.56	+0.67%	81.05 *	113 +4.0%
CCJ	5	85.18	-0.60%	97.51	-62 -12.6%
IREN	10	41.76	+2.73%	51.86	-101 -19.5%
META	3.00	728.08	+0.30%	637.60	272 +14.0%
NFLX	6	67.06	-1.16%	63.44	22 -5.4%
SOFI	1	15.77	-0.44%	16.27	-0 -3.1%
SYM	100	43.28	+0.25%	42.64	64 -7.9%
TTWO	4	202.73	-0.44%	237.37	-139 -14.6%
V	2.99	360.66	+0.23%	344.38	49 +4.5%
VST	10	140.02	+0.19%	153.06	-130 -3.5%

* Option credits exceed half the cost of that position, so true basis is real but its percentage return is not. P&L is every dollar including options and dividends; the small figure under it is the share move against broker basis.

Cash 1,723.65 as recorded. Confirm before sizing.

Your names on the fib band

ACHR$4.89past 61.8
61.8 · $5
50
38.2 · $6
10.1% below the 61.8% fib at $5.44
AMZN$251.5238.2 to 50 zone · 0.6% from $250
61.8 · $239
50
38.2 · $257
1.4% above the 50% fib at $248.14
BA$193.56past 61.8
61.8 · $207
50
38.2 · $221
6.5% below the 61.8% fib at $206.95
CCJ$85.18past 61.8
61.8 · $102
50
38.2 · $113
16.1% below the 61.8% fib at $101.51
IREN$41.76past 61.8
61.8 · $45
50
38.2 · $55
7.0% below the 61.8% fib at $44.89
META$728.08above the band
61.8 · $622
50
38.2 · $682
6.7% above the 38.2% fib at $682.28
NFLX$67.06past 61.8
61.8 · $82
50
38.2 · $92
18.1% below the 61.8% fib at $81.84
SOFI$15.77past 61.8
61.8 · $17
50
38.2 · $18
6.6% below the 61.8% fib at $16.89
SYM$43.28past 61.8
61.8 · $49
50
38.2 · $56
11.5% below the 61.8% fib at $48.91
TTWO$202.73past 61.8 · 1.4% from $200
61.8 · $221
50
38.2 · $238
8.4% below the 61.8% fib at $221.35
V$360.66above the band
61.8 · $332
50
38.2 · $353
2.3% above the 38.2% fib at $352.68
VST$140.02past 61.8
61.8 · $147
50
38.2 · $157
5.0% below the 61.8% fib at $147.44

Armed levelsradar-rules.md

Round number magnets

QQQ$750 magnet$749.58-0.1%
PAYX$100 magnet$98.94-1.1%
BMY$60 magnet$61.15+1.9%

Dip radar, AI infrastructure

WDCDown 10.2% on the day$415.29-10.2%
STX0.1% from $850; down 10.2% on the day$848.99-10.2%
MODDown 5.8% on the day$178.20-5.8%
SNDK1.2% from $1700$1,719.99-3.8%
ALAB0.1% from $350$350.33-1.7%
GEV3.6% from the 50% fib (1025.97); 1.1% from $1000$988.70+0.1%
TT0.9% from the 50% fib (459.92)$463.91+1.1%
CRWV0.4% from $90$89.62+1.2%
EQIX2.9% from the 50% fib (1056.4)$1,025.72+1.3%
AMAT0.5% from the 50% fib (542.58); 1.8% from $550$540.04+2.0%
PWR1.2% from the 50% fib (668.47)$676.56+2.1%
LRCX0.7% from $350$347.49+2.2%

22 names flagged, showing the 12 weakest. The rest are round-number proximity only.

TARGETS on the fib ladder

Left is the deepest discount off the 52-week high. The dot is where the tape sits.

Hidden: BRK.B, GE, GS are above the band, so not buyable here. BA, TTWO, VST already held, shown on the book rail.

NEENextEra Energy$76.83past 61.8
61.8 · $79
50
38.2 · $87
3.0% below the 61.8% fib at $79.25
LMTLockheed Martin$505.41past 61.8
61.8 · $518
50
38.2 · $584
2.4% below the 61.8% fib at $517.79
COSTCostco$920.65past 61.8
61.8 · $940
50
38.2 · $1,000
2.1% below the 61.8% fib at $940.49
WFCWells Fargo$80.45past 61.8
61.8 · $82
50
38.2 · $88
1.6% below the 61.8% fib at $81.80
ULTAUlta Beauty$543.69past 61.8
61.8 · $552
50
38.2 · $615
1.6% below the 61.8% fib at $552.45
CINFCincinnati Financial$161.9538.2 to 50 zone
61.8 · $155
50
38.2 · $162
0.3% below the 38.2% fib at $162.47
MAMastercard$552.2638.2 to 50 zone
61.8 · $527
50
38.2 · $555
0.6% below the 38.2% fib at $555.45
MMM3M$161.8938.2 to 50 zone
61.8 · $154
50
38.2 · $163
0.6% below the 38.2% fib at $162.87 · crossed the 38.2% down since the last scan
QCOMQualcomm$184.8750 to 61.8 zone
61.8 · $175
50
38.2 · $207
3.2% below the 50% fib at $190.96
AVGOBroadcom$355.1438.2 to 50 zone
61.8 · $321
50
38.2 · $371
2.6% above the 50% fib at $346.27 · crossed the 50% up since the last scan

Abnormal movers504 names scanned

ECHOEchoStarTelecom · 3.1x normal$94.25+6.8%Up 6.8% on Dish DBS exiting bankruptcy plus a fresh bull case (Gabelli) around embedded SpaceX exposure.
WDCWestern DigitalHardware · 2.8x normal$415.29-10.2%Down 10.2% with STX on Toshiba doubling HDD output, an oversupply scare across the storage complex.
TSNTyson FoodsStaples · 2.7x normal$51.89+2.8%Up 2.8%, bouncing off a fresh 52-week low with no new catalyst in the feed beyond the rebound itself.
TXNTexas InstrumentsChips · 2.6x normal$293.80+4.4%Up 4.4%, riding a broad chip-sector bid tied to the Qorvo/Skyworks deal chatter and a SCHD rebalance that added tech weight.
NKENike, Inc.Apparel · 2.6x normal$33.87-3.6%
STXSeagate TechnologyHardware · 2.5x normal$848.99-10.2%
NSCNorfolk Southern RailwayRail · 2.4x normal$317.44+2.3%
URIUnited RentalsServices · 2.4x normal$1,081.04+4.5%
LINLinde plcChemicals · 2.2x normal$479.48+2.1%
AWKAmerican Water WorksUtilities · 2.1x normal$130.25+1.9%
ROKRockwell AutomationMachinery · 2.1x normal$454.35+2.7%
FRTFederal Realty Investment TrustREIT · 2.1x normal$106.69-1.2%
DEJohn DeereMachinery · 2.1x normal$687.00+3.0%
FTVFortiveMachinery · 2.1x normal$57.47+2.9%

At / near a 52-week lowwithin 3%

LVSLas Vegas SandsTravel · 0.1% above the low$36.23-1.2%low $36.21
WYNNWynn ResortsTravel · 0.2% above the low$75.88-1.8%low $75.75
AONAon (company)Insurance · 0.2% above the low$269.45-2.4%low $268.90
CSRACSRA · 0.3% above the low$24.46+0.3%low $24.39
WYWeyerhaeuserREIT · 0.3% above the low$18.47-0.7%low $18.41
VICIVici PropertiesREIT · 0.5% above the low$22.65-0.3%low $22.54
APPAppLovinSoftware · 0.5% above the low$268.22-4.7%low $266.84
CPTCamden Property TrustREIT · 0.5% above the low$95.96-0.7%low $95.45
PEPPepsiCoBeverages · 0.6% above the low$125.89+0.2%low $125.16
CTVACortevaAgriculture · 0.7% above the low$11.92-5.2%low $11.84
MAAMid-America Apartment CommunitiesREIT · 0.7% above the low$115.27-0.9%low $114.47
SBACSBA CommunicationsREIT · 0.7% above the low$158.49+0.3%low $157.35

Market newssince the 06:00 report

GOOGL, META, NFLX, MSFT, AMZN: Big Tech Set to Avoid Tough EU Digital Rules Lifts a regulatory overhang sitting on three held names, META, AMZN and NFLX. TipRanks

Congressequities only, bonds dropped

No committee-correlated equity trade in the window.

What's comingfrom economic-calendar.md

NFLX Q3 earnings Held 6 sh. Wells Fargo Underweight $57 (9/18) and HSBC Hold $76 (9/22) both cite engagement, so engagement is the number	Tue Oct 20 AMC in 15 days
October FOMC decision, no SEP Whole book	Tue Oct 27 to 10-28 (Tue-Wed) 2pm ET in 22 days
US midterm elections Whole book. VIX Nov-18 future already prices this at 20.03 vs 14.89 spot	Tue Nov 3 in 29 days
TTWO fiscal Q2 earnings Held 4 sh, GTA VI event hold. Last scheduled shot at a pre-order number before the 11/19 launch	Mon Nov 9 in 35 days