45 alerts across 5 steps.
REGIME FLIP GATE OPEN. All three triggers met on the 2026-08-03 close.
Open Ideas
PSTG (now NYSE: P) fired its entry trigger. Price 80.14, up 3.85% on the day, well through the $76 reclaim level from open-ideas.md. Full bullish EMA stack, price above EMA10 75.14 above EMA20 74.67 above EMA50 74.43. The intended vehicle was a long call with strike and expiry chosen at trigger time. Stop was defined as a close below $66.
MARA re-entry watch remains untriggered at 11.75 against a sub-$10 trigger. WMT bullish EMA trigger remains untriggered and the stack has gone bearish.
Market Snapshot
SPY 757.67, which is 8.11% above its 200 DMA of 700.86, up 1.42% on the 8/3 close. QQQ 700.07, which is 8.45% above its 200 DMA of 645.55, up 1.76%. VIX 15.60 as of 8/4.
Regime flip gate status, all three triggers met. SPY above its 200 DMA, met. VIX below 20, met at 15.60. QQQ above its 200 DMA, met. The cushion on both indices has widened back to roughly 8% from 6.0% on 7/31.
Economic Calendar
July nonfarm payrolls lands Friday 8/7 at 8:30am ET, three trading days out. Same morning as VST and TTWO earnings.
July CPI lands Wednesday 8/12 at 8:30am ET, and July PPI follows Thursday 8/13 at 8:30am ET.
TARGETS Price Check
No active dispositions, so every qualifying name is listed. Eighteen names sit within 5% of a Fib level.
| Ticker | Price | Nearest level | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| COST | 954.08 | 50% at 970.28 | -1.7% |
| COST | 954.08 | 61.8% at 940.49 | +1.4% |
| AXP | 344.72 | 38.2% at 348.78 | -1.2% |
| NVDA | 206.64 | 38.2% at 197.90 | +4.4% |
| MSFT | 487.65 | 38.2% at 479.37 | +1.7% |
| HD | 340.02 | 61.8% at 341.67 | -0.5% |
| LMT | 586.29 | 38.2% at 584.32 | +0.3% |
| PEP | 139.63 | 61.8% at 144.36 | -3.3% |
| MA | 570.97 | 38.2% at 555.45 | +2.8% |
| ULTA | 534.41 | 61.8% at 552.45 | -3.3% |
| RH | 173.74 | 50% at 181.65 | -4.4% |
| XOM | 155.06 | 38.2% at 147.88 | +4.9% |
| WFC | 87.89 | 38.2% at 87.89 | 0.0% |
| WYNN | 98.36 | 61.8% at 102.53 | -4.1% |
| NEE | 86.55 | 38.2% at 86.70 | -0.2% |
| BA | 233.49 | 38.2% at 224.72 | +3.9% |
| TTWO | 245.15 | 38.2% at 235.31 | +4.2% |
| INTC | 91.00 | 38.2% at 89.27 | +1.9% |
| BRK.B | 513.14 | 38.2% at 493.30 | +4.0% |
WFC is sitting exactly on its 38.2% Fib at 87.89. NEE is 0.2% under its 38.2% and HD is 0.5% under its 61.8%.
WATCHLIST Scan
Active Swing, seven names with bullish alignment or a material status change since the 2026-07-28 scan.
PSTG (P) 80.14, full bullish stack, was a broken bearish stack on 7/28. HUBS 239.92, full bullish stack, was bullish short EMAs with the EMA50 overhead. DG 127.72, full bullish stack, unchanged and still the cleanest. BMY 65.47, full bullish stack, unchanged. PFE 25.03, forming with price above EMA10 above EMA20 and EMA50 25.10 overhead, upgraded from Below Support. VZ 47.36, lost the full stack, EMA50 45.45 now sits above EMA20 45.42. WMT 110.71, now a bearish stack, was bullish short EMAs on 7/28. KMI 31.40, now a bearish stack, was mixed.
AI Infrastructure and Dip Radar, ten names triggered.
| Ticker | Price | Trigger | Level |
|---|---|---|---|
| FN | 455.94 | round number, +1.3% | 450 |
| CARR | 63.17 | 50% fib, -3.0% | 65.12 |
| TT | 461.21 | 50% fib, +1.7% | 453.69 |
| SPXC | 214.13 | 50% fib, -1.1% | 216.59 |
| GEV | 1006.76 | round number, +0.7% | 1000 |
| CMI | 648.85 | round number, -0.2% | 650 |
| GNRC | 201.21 | round number, +0.6% | 200 |
| DLR | 191.22 | 50% fib, +3.8% | 184.18 |
| EME | 817.42 | 50% fib, +1.2% | 808.11 |
| FIX | 1770.96 | round number, +1.2% | 1750 |
No overreaction dips fired. SPY was green on the 8/3 close, so the red-tape leg of that trigger could not fire.
Portfolio Review
AMZN 284.02, up 20.6% from the 235.50 reference in the notes. The standing exit view was to sell into an all-time-high retest at 275 to 278, and price is now above both the 274.99 ATH close and the 278.56 ATH intraday.
META 590.24, up 9.5% from the 539.03 post-earnings reference in the thesis.
IREN 39.75, up 10.4% from the 36.01 reference in the thesis, and up 8.02% on the day.
SYM 45.85, up 7.6% from the 42.60 reference. The short 45C expires 2026-08-07, three trading days out, and price is above the strike. Earnings land 8/5 after the close, inside the expiry. Price is also 0.9% above the true cost basis of 45.44.
VST 155.94, 4.6% above the true cost basis of 149.06. Earnings 8/7 pre-market.
TTWO 245.15, 3.3% above the true cost basis of 237.37. Earnings 8/7.